Showing posts with label Window. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Window. Show all posts

Sunday, 4 October 2015

Summer Transfer Window Series: 2015 Window Top 10 Loan and Free Wheeler-Dealers

In my final post of this current series, I wanted to do something a little bit differently. In every transfer window, media attention and general focus lands on the big money moves, or the potential difference makers, as is reflected by my previous blogs.

Very little tends to be made of the movement in the free or loan transfer window, but these are where some of the most impressive deals are done. All of the following have at one time or another moved for nothing: Lewandowski, Pirlo, Law, Khedira, Klinsmann and Raul, and this season has been no different, with a number of good free and loan deals being done, particularly by clubs lower down the Premier League pecking order.

10. Maarten Stekelenburg - Fulham to Southampton (Loan)
It's not every day you get the chance to sign a goalkeeper that has played in a World Cup final, but Southampton did exactly that this year. After an unsuccessful (and no doubt costly) spell at Fulham, which was punctuated by a brief loan spell with AS Monaco, the Dutchman made the move across the South East to Southampton. Though in the long-term Stekelenburg is likely to play second fiddle to the currently injured Fraser Forster, the former Roma man is enjoying his time on the coast, with three successive clean sheets in recent games.

9. Tom Cleverley - Manchester United to Everton (Free)
Although an uninspiring player on the face of it, and certainly not good enough for the likes of Manchester United (or England), but a solid central midfielder. Having been loaned out to Aston Villa last year, and generally impressed, Cleverley has earned a permanent move away from Old Trafford, and to a decent side in Everton. Like Stekelenberg, I don't expect the Englishman to play every game, but at just 26 years old, he still has plenty to offer and will be challenged at Goodison Park. He adds reasonable strength in depth and cover for the more experienced Gareth Barry, and will certainly have an opportunity to prove himself this season.

8. Nathan Dyer - Swansea City to Leicester City (Loan)
A bit of surprising one, this. Having been one of the staples of the Swansea side of the last few years, particularly in their first season back in the big time in 2011-2012, I felt that the flyer winger would still be a part of Garry Monk's plans. However, the signing and rise in form of Jefferson Montero has seen the opportunities dry up for Dyer, and rather than settle for reduced first-team minutes, the Englishman made the call to go out on loan to Leicester. While I'm not expecting the little winger to set the team alight over the coming months, particularly with the form of Riyhad Mahrez at present, but I do see him playing an important role over the season.

7. Victor Ibarbo - AS Roma to Watford (Loan)
A bolt out of the unknown, this transfer. Having enjoyed a largely successful career in Serie A with both Cagliari and Roma, as well as earning a number of caps for the Colombian national side, Ibarbo made the move to Premier League new boys Watford. A proven goalscorer with prodigious pace, it will be interesting to see how the striker gets on, particularly acclimatising to the physical nature of the Premier League. First of all, however, he needs to get to grips with the English legislation, with Ibarbo noble to take his place in the Watford side at the weekend due to visa problems. Once he has cleared that problem, I am certain he will prove a good signing for the Hornets, and could well prove the difference between survival and relegation come May.

6. Ibrahim Afellay - Barcelona to Stoke City (Free)
Stoke are slowly but surely putting together an impressive team of names that perhaps haven't hit their heights at enormous clubs, with Afellay joining the likes of Bojan and Shaqiri at the Britannia this summer. Once seen as the golden boy of Dutch football, Afellay shone in the Eredivisie, bringing PSV a number of titles and trophies. As a result, Barcelona took notice, and the youngster got the move to the Nou Camp.

However, since then it has been a seemingly never-ending series of disappointment, underperformance and a string of horrendous injuries, which has left Afellay needing to resurrect his career. He certainly possesses an enormous amount of quality, and has the potential to win a game in an instant, with his left foot particularly potent. However, he has also shown that he can be petulant, with his sending off against West Brom this season a prime example. All in all, a strong transfer, but Mark Hughes may have a challenge getting the best out of him.

5. James Milner - Manchester City to Liverpool (Free)
Perhaps not the most exciting transfer that Liverpool made this summer, but arguably one of the more important. The personification of the term 'utility player', Milner is an extremely valuable addition to Liverpool, providing them with cover across a number of positions. Having found his game time at Manchester City reduced year on year since signing for the club in 2010, Milner had made it clear that he would leave at the end of his contract. The only real question then was who would he go to?

With the midfielder unlikely to want to take a significant step down in quality that has been seen by many of this season's free transfers, it became evident that Liverpool were rapidly becoming first choice to secure his services. He has had an unspectacular start to life at Anfield, but then again he is an unspectacular player!

4. Yann M'Vila - Rubin Kazan to Sunderland (Loan)
Given the struggle that Sunderland have had in the last few seasons to retain their Premier League status, it surprised me that they were able to tempt the man who was once thought of extremely highly, and linked with some of Europe's top sides. True, his stock has dipped somewhat after choosing to ignore the top leagues and making the move to Russia, but I would have thought that his name alone would have got him into sides more capable of making an impact on the league. Considering the start that the Black Cats have made to this season, M'Vila has not been particularly poor, showing his talent with an exquisite free kick. Sunderland will need a few more of those to get them out of trouble, however.

3. Alex Song - Barcelona to West Ham United (Loan)
Though perhaps not as shocking as it was last season, I still think this represents an outstanding bit of business for the Hammers. Having proven his worth in England with first Arsenal, and then last season at Upton Park, Alex Song has returned to East London with a strong pedigree. Though his game-time so far this season has been limited, he will add to a rapidly improving West Ham side, and will further aid the remarkable away record with a bit of steel to go with the flair of the likes of Dimitri Payet.

2. Micah Richards - Manchester City to Aston Villa (Free)
Another Manchester City player, and an Englishman at that, to leave on a free this season. But one club's loss is another's gain, and in this case, I feel Villa have got themselves an absolute gem. Though it's easy to forget, given the amount of time Richards has been around, he is relatively young at just 27 years old. Though, like many of the others in this list, he has failed to live up to what was unreasonable hype, and has found himself out of favour with Manuel Pellegrini. Incredibly strong and quick, he fits perfectly into the Premier League, either at centre back or full back, and will add leadership and stability to the Villa defence. He's already shown considerable promise, and has been installed as captain of the Birmingham club.

1. Andre Ayew - Olympique Marseille to Swansea City (Free)
I think this goes without saying. An absolutely outstanding start to life in the Premier League for Andre Ayew, with a remarkable return of two goals and three assists. The Ghanaian has fitted into the quick pass and move-style football currently on display at the Liberty Stadium perfectly, quickly finding a fruitful partnership with striker Bafetimbi Gomis, who has also started the season like a freight train. Though I'm sure that both he and Swansea will go through lean spells during the season, I'm equally sure that he has the quality to make it through them and continue to contribute to the Swans' season. Shame the same can't be said for his brother Jordan at Aston Villa...

It's been a record-breaking transfer window, and with the new multi-billion pound TV deal set to come into operation next season, the spending is only going to get more pronounced. The only difference is that there will be more transfers made by the lower table sides, with the likes of Shaqiri, Cabaye and Wijnaldum just the start. However, clubs will still try to make the most out of their money, and the free transfers may become ever more significant when we look at the true ability of managers and their chief executives to exploit the market.

With such high sums being thrown around, it's set to be an exciting next few years for transfers, and an exciting next few months to see how the newest names cope with the demands at their new clubs.

Sunday, 20 September 2015

Summer Transfer Window Series: 2015 Window Top 10 Reasonably-Priced Stars

To finish off my Summer Transfer Window series, I'm looking at some of the notable activity from this season's movement. In my latest post, I examined the 10 biggest money moves, and what the problems/pitfalls may be. Here, I'm going to take a leaf out to Top Gear's book - no cars, but everyone here was reasonably priced!

These are the transfers that have the potential to change the fortunes of the clubs involved, and for a relatively small outlay.

10. Petr Cech - Chelsea to Arsenal (£10.5m)
This one was tricky, and a close one between Bastian Schweinsteiger's move to Manchester United and Cech's switch to Arsenal. In the end, I went with the veteran goalkeeper, on the grounds that I feel he will play more first-team games than the German, and has the potential to save the Gunners the greater number of points. A position that was dearly required, Wenger moved swiftly to secure the services of Cech, who instantly repaid him with two bad errors in the team's 2-0 opening day defeat to West Ham. However, he is a true professional, and I'm confident that he will be great signing for Arsenal. Fans of the London club will be bemused that he is the only one, however...

9. Matteo Darmian - Torino to Manchester United (£12.5m)
Having broken onto the scene, and into the Italian national side, during his time at Torino, Matteo Darmian was added by Louis van Gaal to add attacking threat and defensive stability to Manchester United's right hand side. For £12.5m, he looks a good buy, with United so far looking fairly assured in their opening few games. He has yet to demonstrate his attacking capabilities to the full, but he has been a hit with the Old Trafford faithful, and will draw confidence from his strong opening form.

8. Salomon Rondon - Zenit St Petersburg to West Bromwich Albion (£12m)
If you'd have asked West Brom fans in July if they felt they could tempt a striker who was scoring goals in the Champions League last season, I'm sure many would have given an answer in the negative. Though relatively unknown on these shores, Salomon Rondon has been a proven goalscorer in Russia, winning numerous titles and accolades with Zenit St Petersburg. Though he is a slight gamble at £12m, Tony Pulis is notoriously good at getting the best out of his squad, and I'm sure it won't be long before we see the Venezuelan's full potential in the Premier League. As his performance against Chelsea proved, he has the potential to put seasoned defenders to the sword, and his power and ability should take West Brom into the safety of mid-table mediocrity, and maybe higher if he can stay injury-free.

7. Nathaniel Clyne - Southampton to Liverpool (£12.5m)
Given the clamour, and subsequent overpricing, of English players (for more, please see Raheem Sterling, Andy Carroll, Owen Hargreaves, Luke Shaw and Adam Lallana), the next two entries are more remarkable. After a strong season with Southampton, which saw the right-back establish himself in the England set-up, Nathaniel Clyne made the move to Merseyside for a surprisingly low fee of £12.5m. Given his age of just 24, Clyne is an outstanding signing, with plenty of time to improve both for club and country, and will certainly be an asset for Liverpool as they push towards the Champions League places once again this term.

6. Fabian Delph - Aston Villa to Manchester City (£8m)
To acquire an England international for under £10m is impressive in this day and age, and when it's someone under 25 and plenty of years ahead of him, it's almost remarkable. Fabian Delph has proven himself to be a future England central midfielder, leading Aston Villa to the FA Cup final last year with his composure and authority. After a confusing on again/off again transfer saga, which saw him posing in an Aston Villa shirt just six days before the announcement of City's move, then rejecting a move, before eventually making the switch to the Blues. Unfortunately, his career at City has started with a series of injuries (cue comparisons to Jack Rodwell and Scott Sinclair), but I am convinced he will add something to the squad in the long-term.

5. Georginio Wijnaldum - PSV Eindhoven to Newcastle United (£14.5m)
Though an expensive signing, the Dutchman answers a serious question that the Geordies had last year - how can we create more goals? With the failure of Remy Cabella and the exit of Yohan Cabaye, Newcastle have struggled to score enough to drag themselves away from danger, and much of the ire has been directed at Mike Ashley. However, the Sports Direct boss has put his hand in his pocket this year, added some strong creative talent to the Newcastle squad. At the tender age of 24, Wijnaldum has much to offer, and his debut goal against Southampton will have settled the nerves. He has European pedigree, and will certainly help Newcastle get back to were they should be.

4. Florian Thauvin - Olympique Marseille to Newcastle United (£12m)
Alongside Wijnaldum, Newcastle fans can be excited by the arrival of 22 year-old Florian Thauvin. One of the most creative players in Ligue 1 over the last season or so, he demonstrated his credentials in the 4-1 League Cup victory over Northampton, having a hand in all of Newcastle's goals. Ok, that was against a League Two side, but he was inches away from causing a shock at Old Trafford earlier in the season, and I'm sure he'll be terrorising defences up and down the country soon enough.

3. Dimitri Payet - Olympique Marseille to West Ham United (£12m)
It's surprised me that the man who was credited with creating the most chances of any in European football last season made the move to West Ham United, and for such a relatively small fee when compared to the fee generated by the man in second, Kevin De Bruyne. Though he is older, he is just 28, and will be coming into his prime in the coming years. He's already proven his worth at West Ham, creating a number of top quality chances, helping the Hammers win at both Anfield and The Emirates, and his set piece deliveries have defences worried. He looks an excellent signing.

2. Yohan Cabaye - Paris Saint Germain to Crystal Palace (£10m)
There aren't many signings each season that you have to wonder if you've just seen them - but this year we've had two, and it's been difficult to separate them. In the end, I've put Yohan Cabaye's move to Crystal Palace second. When the deal was announced, I thought this was not going to be beaten, with the commanding central midfielder a genius move in the market by Alan Pardew. However, the hair that split the two is the fact that Pardew has had the long-running relationship with Cabaye, having signed the Frenchman for Newcastle a few seasons ago. However, for Palace to attract players of the quality of Cabaye is outstanding, and for £10m is a deal that is more than value for money.

1. Xherdan Shaqiri - Inter Milan to Stoke City (£12m)
However, this one was absolutely out of the blue. Honestly, when Peter Crouch made the suggestion on Twitter back in June that Xherdan Shaqiri was considering a move to the Potteries, I genuinely thought he was joking. The diminutive Swiss has been at some of the world's most prestigious and celebrated clubs, and at just 23, is hardly past his best and looking to hang up his boots. Having struggled in his time at Inter Milan, he chose the move to the Premier League, and has already showed his value, providing an impressive assist from a free kick. He is perfectly built for the English league, and I'm sure will make a great addition to Stoke's more creative squad, now including the likes of Bojan, Afellay and Arnautovic - a far cry from the 'long ball team' of Rory Delap and Ricardo Fuller!

All in all, an impressive showing from some of the mid-table teams in the Premier League, attracting some enormous quality from around the globe. I think this is why the English league is the best in the world, and with the £5bn Sky TV deal to come into effect, teams are only going to have more money to play with in the coming years.

Saturday, 12 September 2015

Summer Transfer Window Series: 2015 Window Top 10 Big Money Moves

And so, the summer chaos is over for another year. I'm not talking about the departure lounge of Manchester Airport, it is of course the transfer window. As part of my latest series, I wanted to review some of the biggest and best Premier League transactions this year, starting with the top 10 huge money moves.

It's been a record summer, with spending rising four per cent to £870m. As a result, we've got a strong top 10, with all of the deals highlighted in excess of £20m. With the new Sky TV deal, valued at a staggering £5bn, set to come into play next year, clubs have realised that they have money to play with, and as a result, are more willing to splash out the big bucks.

10. Pedro Rodriguez - Barcelona to Chelsea (£21m)
We kick off with Chelsea's big-name summer signing. Having struggled through their opening couple of games, claiming just one point, Jose Mourinho felt the time was right to make his move. Despite considerable reported interest from Manchester United, Chelsea met the buyout clause of Barcelona's Pedro, who had found himself less of a fixture at the Catalan club since the purchases of Neymar and Luis Suarez.

Cue merciless chants taunting United on the terraces, and rapid response from Louis van Gaal, claiming they never really wanted him - funny that! Meanwhile, the Spaniard, who has already won two Champions League titles and countless league crowns, has hit the ground running, with one goal and two assists in his first two games.

9. Heung-Min Son - Bayer Leverkusen to Tottenham Hotspur (£22m)
The first of our 'panic buys' to enter the list. Not unlike Chelsea, Spurs have had a rocky start to the new season, particularly struggling for goals. With Harry Kane having that typical 'second season syndrome', Tottenham swooped for Son, paying over the odds for a player that, while talented, has often struggled to be prolific. It remains to be seen whether this plays out well, but his debut will be eagerly anticipated by Spurs fans - but the last striker to cost in excess of £20m didn't really work out - Roberto Soldado.

8. Morgan Schneiderlin - Southampton to Manchester United (£24m)
Poor old Southampton. Their strong young side of a couple of years ago has been decimated, with Liverpool and Manchester United particularly guilty of stealing their players. This summer, it was the turn of Morgan Schneiderlin to depart, having come close to joining Spurs last year. At £24m, he seems extremely expensive, and he has hardly had the most auspicious start, frequently giving the ball away in the games at home to Tottenham and Newcastle. Nevertheless, it remains clear that Louis van Gaal considers him a ready-made replacement for the ageing Michael Carrick, and I expect to see the Dutchman continue to give him a chance to repay the outlay.

7. Nicolas Otamendi - Valencia to Manchester City (£28m upfront, will rise to £32m)
Another of Manchester United's failed transfer targets, and the first of Manchester City's big-money signings. Who would have thought that £28m would represent one of the club's cheaper purchases? Though a touch surprising, given the form of both Vincent Kompany and Eliaquim Mangala, Nicolas Otamendi adds further competition and strength in depth for City's European tilt, particularly given the typically ridiculous group the club has been given again.

It does have to be said, however, that one of the key reasons for the move to City is the transfer of Alvaro Negredo the other way last year. Expected cost in the region of £22m, Valencia have simply not got the money, so a part exchange was almost inevitable to come good on the money.

6. Roberto Firmino - Hoffenheim to Liverpool (£29m)
Liverpool have also been busy in the transfer window, financing the signing of Brazilian forward Roberto Firmino in June. The former Hoffenheim man has recently broken into the Brazil national team, popping up with some useful goals in recent friendlies, and seems to have the physical stature to cope with the rough and tumble of the Premier League. As with many of this year's moves, he looks overpriced by my estimation, and has failed to stamp his authority on the team in the opening weeks, but I do believe he adds something different to the Liverpool squad.

5. Memphis Depay - PSV Eindhoven to Manchester United (£31m)
The move finalised earlier than any other, Memphis Depay has had a considerable amount of time to gel with his new teammates, and you have to say it has worked. Of all of the United players so far this season, he has looked the most lively, and demonstrated his quality with his two-goal appearance at home to Club Brugge in the Champions League. Though he is often greedy and at times petulant, he is still young, and should learn quickly how to operate at a club the size of United. As a team, United has yet to hit top gear in the league, and you can be sure that Depay will be at the centre of activity once they do.

4. Christian Benteke - Aston Villa to Liverpool (£32.5m)
Funded by another big-money transfer (which if you don't already know about, I'll get to later, but more importantly, where have you been?!) Liverpool hit the buy-out clause in Christian Benteke's contract to secure his services. A proven goalscorer, Benteke has outperformed a relatively poor Aston Villa side over the last couple of years, and his suitors included a host of Europe's top teams. Though his opening few games for the Reds have been underwhelming, with one goal a relatively poor return at this stage, I am confident he will deliver, but it will be interesting to see how the Belgian deals with the enormous pressure that comes with the status of the club and the price tag over his head in the coming months.

3. Anthony Martial - AS Monaco to Manchester United (£36.6m - could rise to £58m)
Quite frankly, ridiculous. So left-field, they've disappeared off the pitch and out the stadium. I think you get my point. The very fact that Wayne Rooney had to ask who he was demonstrates the fact that this is not a £36.6m man, and his record is hardly justification either. Just eight goals in 31 Ligue 1 appearances last season does not strike of a prolific goalscorer, and with Rooney well and truly out of form, a goalscorer is exactly what United need. The fact that the deal was completed on deadline day reeks of a panic buy from Louis van Gaal following their defeat by Swansea, and with clauses including 25 international appearances and 25 goals over the next four seasons likely to cost the club another £15m, this could be an extremely expensive failure.

2. Raheem Sterling - Liverpool to Manchester City (£49m)
Arguably the most obvious move of the summer (although I would have put the sale of David de Gea to Real Madrid in this category!). Though a silly price, City had identified the player they required to progress their title tilt, and made their move early. With Sterling using every tactic in the book (and a few perhaps not in there!) to get his move, Liverpool handled the situation admirably, maintaining composure and ensuring they got the best deal for the current European Golden Boy. They certainly made City pay through the nose, but given the way the club has started this year, a lot of which is the injection of pace and width that Sterling provides, it does seem like a deal that may pay off for the Blues.

1. Kevin De Bruyne - VfL Wolfsburg to Manchester City (£54m)
And if City's start wasn't frightening enough for their rivals, they've brought in the man who created the most chances in any of Europe's top leagues last year. Though again for ridiculous money, Kevin de Bruyne is another exciting young prospect with proven pedigree, and will add to an already embarrassing forward line containing Silva, Aguero and Sterling. The Belgian has flourished in the Bundesliga, scoring 17 goals and assisting 29 more last season, and I have no doubt that he will do well in the Premier League. He's going to have to though, particularly for the eye-watering sum that was paid for him.

Saturday, 15 August 2015

Summer Transfer Window Series: 10 Best Bargain Buys

As any football chief executive will undoubtedly tell you, laced among the big money moves and the anonymous acquisitions are the gems, the one in a million transfers. Though often not involving large sums, these buys didn't shake the footballing world when they happened, but would have far wider implications for the club, and the game, as time elapsed.

But, as with the other posts in this series, who makes my top 10? Who should be considered the best bargain buys?

10. Demba Ba - West Ham United to Newcastle United (Free, 2011)
Having made the move from Germany to East London in the January of 2011, Ba made an immediate impact for West Ham, scoring seven goals in 12 games to take the Hammers to the brink of survival. However, it was not enough, and Ba opted to leave for Newcastle. He would find his feet similarly quickly, scoring 16 goals in his first season as Newcastle narrowly missed out on Champions League qualification. After a strong start to the following season piqued the interest of Chelsea, Newcastle made a tasty £7m profit, in addition to their European appearance.

9. Alessandro Del Piero - Padova to Juventus (£2m, 1993)
Arguably the best example of a young signing coming to fruition for his new employers. At the age of 16, Alessandro Del Piero was an up and coming Padova youngster, and despite having only scored one goal in 14 games for his first club, Italian giants Juventus saw something in him. In the summer of 1993, they paid just £2m for the services of a player who would go on to become a club legend.

Over the next 10 years, Del Piero would score 208 goals in 513 appearances for The Old Lady, racking up six Serie A titles, a Coppa Italia and a Champions League victory. Such was his loyalty, he remained at Juve despite their relegation following the match-fixing scandal in 2006, helping the club reclaim its former glories.

8. Andrea Pirlo - AC Milan to Juventus (Free, 2011)
Juventus have also proven to be rather astute when it comes to signing elder statesmen too. In 2011, it was the general consensus that Andrea Pirlo was past his prime, having been part of the all-conquering team of the late 2000s that included the likes of Kaka, Nesta, Maldini and Shevchenko. However, Juventus, just like Del Piero, saw the potential that Pirlo could provide, and made an inspired free purchase. The midfielder would go on to claim four Serie A titles - double that achieved for AC Milan, in addition to leading Italy to the final of Euro 2012.

7. Frank Lampard - West Ham United to Chelsea (£11m, 2001)
To suggest that £11m is a bargain buy, particularly in 2001 when prices were comparatively low, is perhaps surprising. However, with the benefit of hindsight, I think there are few Chelsea, or indeed football fans that would disagree. Already with considerable experience, having played almost 150 games for the Hammers, scoring 24 goals, Lampard completed his £11m move to Chelsea. And, as they say, the rest is history. 429 matches and 147 goals later, Frank Lampard is the club's all time leading scorer, and second in the Premier League's all time assists table.

6. Cristiano Ronaldo - Sporting Lisbon to Manchester United (£12.24m, 2003)
Similarly to Frank Lampard, £12.24m seemingly makes it difficult to consider how this may become a bargain. However, while Ronaldo may not have the longevity to match Lampard, he certainly made one hell of an impact at Old Trafford. At times mercurial, and at times petulant, the Portuguese magician solidified himself as one of the best players in the world, scoring 84 goals in 196 games for Manchester United. It was therefore unsurprising when Real Madrid came in for the winger, giving United a £68m profit.

5. Joe Hart - Shrewsbury Town to Manchester City (£600,000, 2006)
When Manchester City, perennial Premier League strugglers, bought an unknown young English goalkeeper called Joe Hart in 2006, few could ever have predicted the way it would turn out. Through all of the changes surrounding the Blues in the last six years, one thing has remained constant - their number one. In his 236 games for the club, he has had many memorable moments, whether it's keeping City in games against Borussia Dortmund or Barcelona in the Champions League, or his iconic arms outstretched run around the Etihad to celebrate Sergio Aguero's last minute Premier League winner in 2012.

4. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer - Molde to Manchester United (£1.5m, 1996)
Bought in 1996, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer was one of Sir Alex Ferguson's more underwhelming signings. Rather unknown and unproven, he was signed as a backup to Andy Cole and Eric Cantona. However, it was here he made his mark, quickly earning the reputation as a 'super-sub'. Though a moniker few footballers want, the Norwegian proved adept at scoring off the bench, scoring 18 in his opening season. He will perhaps be best remembered for his 1999 winning goal in the Champions League final against Bayern Munich, but in his 11 years at Old Trafford, he more than made back his £1.5m - scoring 91 goals in 235 games for United.

3. Gareth Bale - Southampton to Tottenham Hotspur (£5m, 2007)
Coming from Southampton's famed youth system, much was expected from what was a flying Welsh left back. Bought by Spurs in 2007, Bale always looked to possess talent, but it was only after a number of years in North London that the Welshman demonstrated his full potential. Having moved position into midfield to help Spurs into the Champions League, Bale terrorised full-backs across Europe, particularly on one night in Milan, where he put on a remarkable display in a 4-3 defeat to Inter. He picked up where he left off the following year, claiming the PFA Player of the Year Award, before a world record move to Real Madrid, earning Spurs £80m profit.

2. Thierry Henry - Juventus to Arsenal (£11m, 1999)
There are very few transfers that radically change the history of a football club, but when they do, you have to consider them a bargain, almost regardless of price. When Thierry Henry arrived at Highbury, Arsenal were a side on the back foot. Having lost the Premier League title to Manchester United, they signed the Frenchman who, disillusioned at Juventus, was designed to play as a central striker. Though £11m seemed steep at the time, Henry has surpassed everyone's expectations. In the following eight years, he led the club to two league titles, including the iconic 'Invincibles' season, three FA Cups and a Champions League final. Despite his short stay, he scored 174 goals in 254 games, making him Arsenal's all-time record goalscorer.

1. Peter Schmeichel - Brondby to Manchester United (£500,000, 1991)
Simply the greatest goalkeeper of the Premier League era, and to think that he cost just half a million beggars belief. It's not even like Schmeichel was particularly young - he was 27 when Ferguson brought the Dane to Old Trafford. However, Schmeichel proved the bedrock for the successes of the Red Devils through the 1990s, and arguably kept Ferguson in a job in the early years. In 292 games for United, Schmeichel won five league titles, three FA Cups, a league cup and captained United to the Treble in 1999.

So, as we can see, for every misguided and inflated transfer fee that Sir Alex Ferguson paid over his decades in charge of Manchester United, he found a number of gems, which formed the heart of his dominant side in the 1990s and 2000s.

Club legends, as one would expect, are almost impossible to predict on purchase, but is there anyone bought so far that has the potential? Perhaps not the big money transfers of the likes of Raheem Sterling or Memphis Depay, but certainly mid-range signings like Georginio Wijnaldum or Xherdan Shaqiri have promise.

Sunday, 2 August 2015

Summer Transfer Window Series: 10 Big Money Flops

With the recent commercialisation of global football, money has rarely been an issue for the largest teams. As a result of this, we've seen a period of valuation inflation when it comes to transfers, with some enormous sums of money flying around. Some of these make my 'Transfers that Shook the World' post, while others sneak under the radar. In addition, sometimes the money is justified by performances (for instance, Ronaldo's £80m doesn't seem too outrageous any more!), while others end up being an enormous waste of money.

But which are the biggest waste of money? And are there any trends that we can see when it comes to clubs and overpaying?

10. Robbie Keane - Tottenham Hotspur to Liverpool (2008, £20.3m)
A great example of a big money transfer dropping under the radar. In 2008, Robbie Keane made the move away from Spurs, a club he'd spent the majority of his career to that point with. Daniel Levy, as he so often does, managed to get an exceptional deal for the North London club, costing Liverpool £20.8m for the Irish international. However, the proven goalscorer proved to not be so prolific in red, waiting 11 games for his first Liverpool goal. He went on to only score five goals in 19 games for the side, though they did manage to recoup much of the fee they paid for the striker when he returned to Spurs just six months later.

9. Angel di Maria - Real Madrid to Manchester United (2014, £59.8m)
Though the Argentine made the back end of my 'Transfers that Shook the World' post, he has failed to make the desired impact. He ends up lower down this list because of the fact that he's only been there a year, and I tend to give players a second season to take effect. However, with it looking increasingly likely that di Maria is on his way out of Old Trafford, the four goals and ten assists provided last season just isn't worth the money paid.

8. Dimitar Berbatov - Tottenham Hotspur to Manchester United (2008, £30m)
Back on that crazy deadline day in Manchester in 2008, it was the £30m signing of Dimitar Berbatov that paled into significance following the Robinho saga across the road. Manchester United, despite the wealth of attacking talent at their disposal, with the likes of Ronaldo, Rooney and Tevez all in form, dipped into their coffers to add another proven Premier League goalscorer. However, the big Bulgarian was always on the periphery, failing to rediscover his form and finding his most successful moments at Old Trafford in the cup competitions.

7. Diego - Werder Bremen to Juventus (2009, £23.8m)
A player who was among my favourites at Werder Bremen in my teenage years, Diego set the Bundesliga alight with his guile, creativity and flair, leaving many of the world's top clubs vying for his signature. Italian giants Juventus won the race, with the Brazilian signing for £23.8m in 2009. However, in 33 games, he managed just 5 goals, and was deemed to be surplus to requirements by the end of the following season, recouping just £12m when he moved back to Germany with Wolfsburg.

6. Mario Balotelli - AC Milan to Liverpool (2014, £15m)
Why always him? The enigmatic Italian had the world at his feet when he broke onto the scene in 2008 at the age of just 17, but his childish attitude garnered him a reputation both in Italy and in Manchester. However, there was no doubting his ability, and Brendan Rodgers looked to have pulled off a masterstroke when he signed Super Mario for just £15m last summer. To be fair to Mario, he certainly had seemed to work harder for his team, and improved his attitude, however, he just didn't have the goals. Mocked repeatedly for failing to score throughout last year, his days look numbered following the arrival of Christian Benteke last week. How much they can get for him remains a mystery.

5. Alberto Aquilani - AS Roma to Liverpool (2009, £17m)
AS Roma's 'Little Prince', seen as the natural successor to club legends Francesco Totti and Daniele De Rossi, made the difficult decision to leave his home town club in 2009, opting for Merseyside in a £17m deal. However, a series of injury problems and inconsistent form limited his opportunities in the team, with the Italian making just 18 appearances over an unsuccessful three year period while making loan moves back to Italy with Juventus and AC Milan, before a permanent free transfer to Fiorentina in 2012.

4. Juan Sebastien Veron - Inter Milan to Manchester United (2001, £28.1m)
The Argentine world beater's £28.1m move in 2001 was a club record transfer at the time, and underlined United's intentions to create their own Galacticos. However, it was not to be. Unlike the Italian game, Veron struggled to get to grips with the speed and physicality of the Premier League, scoring just seven times in 51 appearances for United. Such was his failure, Sir Alex Ferguson, who had publicly defender Veron on numerous occasions during the following season, sold him to Chelsea for a cut-price £15m in 2003.

3. Roque Santa Cruz - Blackburn Rovers to Manchester City (2009, £17.5m)
Very much like the signing of Dimitar Berbatov, Roque Santa Cruz was brought into a Manchester City squad already containing the likes of Carlos Tevez, Emmanuel Adebayor and Robinho. However, even worse, they had signed both Tevez and Adebayor for large sums in the same summer, making the purchase of Santa Cruz even more pointless. Though certainly only bought as Mark Hughes was his manager at Blackburn Rovers, the Paraguayan only managed three goals in an appalling 20 game stay at The Etihad, before being farmed out to Blackburn and Malaga on loan, before moving permanently to the latter in 2013.

2. Kaka - AC Milan to Real Madrid (2009, £55m)
Kaka, arguably the world's best player in the mid-2000s, leading AC Milan almost single-handedly to a Champions League title in 2007, became the first of the new Galacticos signed in 2009, being joined by Cristiano Ronaldo and Karim Benzema. However, he never hit the same heights as he did in Italy, scoring 23 in an injury hit four seasons, which saw the Brazilian make just 85 appearances before rejoining AC Milan.

1. Andriy Shevchenko - AC Milan to Chelsea (2006, £30.8m)
Another world class forward player from AC Milan makes a disastrous move abroad for an astronomical sum - I guess this proves that Silvio Berlusconi got something right, cashing out at the best moment. Ballon d'Or winner Andriy Shevchenko made the move to London in 2006 for £30m, joining up with Jose Mourinho's two-time champions as Roman Abramovic targeted the Champions League title. However, nine goals is not enough for just one season for a top striker, never mind being spread across three years. Every goal scored by the Ukrainian at Chelsea cost over £3m, which everyone would agree is expensive!

So what trends can we see from these ten? Firstly, it seems that for all of his good signings (Vidic, van Nistelrooy and Ronaldo etc.) Alex Ferguson also wasted an awful lot of money, and Louis van Gaal appears set to do the same. In contrast, both AC Milan and Tottenham Hotspur seem good at getting the best deals for their players, in addition to selling them at the right time - just as they go off the boil.

And are we likely to see any big-money flops this summer? Of the transfers already done, it seems unlikely that either Arda Turan or Arturo Vidal will fail to live up to their valuations, while though it pains me to say it, Raheem Sterling may well struggle to meet the £49m valuation placed on him. Similarly, £60m and £70m valuations for Kevin De Bruyne and Paul Pogba also runs the risk of making this list, as they would have to go some to make the deal worthwhile.

Nevertheless, it's worth noting that a high profile failure can have a disastrous impact on a player's career - will Angel di Maria be able to make his seemingly inevitable move to Paris Saint Germain work to be the exception to the rule?

Sunday, 19 July 2015

Summer Transfer Window Series: 10 Moves That Shook The World

Every summer usually has a transfer that defines the period. However, some transfers transcend the boundaries of what is expected, or even what was previously thought possible, truly shaking the world of football. In this post, I'll outline my top 10, before looking at the mega-moves that we may see this August.

10. Angel di Maria - Real Madrid to Manchester United (£59.6m, 2014)
The first in my list is the first in the enormous money moves that I've looked at, and makes the list primarily because of the sum paid. Seen as one of the world's best wingers, di Maria starred at the World Cup in Brazil, helping Argentina to the final. With Manchester United in a slump following a poor season, a statement of intent was required - step forward di Maria for an eye-watering sum.

9. Neymar - Santos to Barcelona (£50m (to date), 2013)
The most sought-after young talent in the world at the time, Neymar opted for the Catalans over a number of clubs, leaving his beloved Santos for a reported £50m. This transfer would have serious repercussions, however, with contract irregularities reported set to turn this into a world record move - an incredible £116m quoted as the total potential price.

8. Alan Shearer - Blackburn Rovers to Newcastle United (£15m, 1996)
While it's not really the fee that means that Alan Shearer's transfer makes my list, it's the context. In 1996, the English transfer record stood at a metre (by today's standards) £8.5m, paid by Liverpool to Nottingham Forest for striker Stan Collymore. However, having won the Premier League title with Blackburn, England's number 9 made the move to his hometown club, with the Geordie almost doubling that record overnight, and demonstrating to the world the spending power that English clubs have.

7. Sol Campbell - Tottenham Hotspur to Arsenal (Free, 2001)
Again, not a transfer I'm picking on fee, but on context. It's extremely rare to see players move directly from one club to its direct local rivals, particularly in the higher division where the rivalry is that little more intense. Sol Campbell, a key part of the Spurs team of the 1990s, made the move across North London to Arsenal, and in so doing, cemented his Spurs legacy as the ultimate 'Judas'.

6. Luis Suarez - Liverpool to Barcelona (£75m, 2014)
While the £75m price tag you may assume is the reason for this to be in this list, it's actually not the only explanation. What makes this move most surprising, particularly for the level of investment made, is that Suarez had received a three month ban from all footballing activity for his bite on Giorgio Chiellini just a matter of weeks earlier. Nevertheless, this did not deter Barcelona, and Suarez made his move last summer for the inflated price.

5. Carlos Tevez - Manchester United to Manchester City (£25.5m, 2009)
Arguably the most controversial move across a city in English footballing history, and one that spawned an ingenious marketing campaign 'Welcome to Manchester' (if of course, you're a Manchester City fan and therefore a true Mancunian). Carlos Tevez had enjoyed a semi-successful loan spell at Manchester United in 2007/2008, before making the move to the heavily spending Blues the following summer. The chants of praise were soon changed to something slightly more offensive and insulting over in Salford!

4. Cristiano Ronaldo - Manchester United to Real Madrid (£80m, 2009)
Perhaps a few of you will be surprised by the fact that I've only rated this in at number four in my list, but I'll explain my decision. Unlike a number of other big money transfers, where the player either doesn't really justify the price, or the move is a surprise in the first place, neither is the case in terms of Ronaldo. Having made it perfectly clear that he wanted to leave Manchester United, it was equally clear that he would command an enormous sum. Therefore, while it was a transfer that shook the world, it was perhaps not as much of a shock as others.

3. Robinho - Real Madrid to Manchester City (£32.5m, 2008)
Rewind to 2007. Manchester City had just narrowly avoiding relegation from the Premier League. Enter first Thaksin Shinawatra and then the Abu Dhabi United Group on transfer deadline day 2008. With manager Mark Hughes on the golf course, City needed to make a statement of intent. And boy, did they, stealing Real Madrid striker Robinho from under the noses of Chelsea for a British record £32.5m.

2. Luis Figo - Barcelona to Real Madrid (£37m, 2000)
If we thought Carlos Tevez's move from United to City was acrimonious, then we've clearly forgotten Luis Figo's decision to move across the Clasico divide, with Barcelona selling their star man to Real Madrid in the summer of 2000. Pure chaos ensued, with the Portuguese's first return to the Nou Camp seeing him so badly abused that he stopped taking corners. Pelted with bottles, lighters and even a pig's head, Figo showed incredible courage, but also, why it may not be a logical move between close rivals - especially in Spain!

1. Gareth Bale - Tottenham Hotspur to Real Madrid (£89m, 2013)
Though this move was not a considerable surprise, if you'd have asked Spurs fans the number it would have taken to prise Gareth Bale away from them, I think only the most hardcore of fans would have suggested a world record £90m. Compared to the likes of Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi, the Welshman is nowhere, but the potential, and David Levy's notorious negotiation skills, meant that the fee inflated significantly.

With this summer window in full swing, are there any transfers that could shock the world of football enough to make this list? Raheem Sterling's £49m move to Manchester City certainly acts as a contender, but is there anything that looks like happening elsewhere?

The significant rumour mill surrounds Juventus wonder kid Paul Pogba. Both Manchester City and Barcelona have been linked with £60-70m moves for the Frenchman, which would certainly qualify as the defining move of this window. How likely this is is uncertain, but from a personal perspective, it would be great to see him in a blue shirt come September.

Sunday, 5 July 2015

Summer Transfer Window Series: My Predictions

As the footballing merry-go-round begins to kick into gear for another year, English football clubs have never been in as strong a position to spend money. With the new £5bn football rights deal set to take effect from next year, clubs know that their revenues are going to be boosted come next summer. As a result, many can spend without fear of additional UEFA penalties thanks to the controversial Financial Fair Play regulations. With each of last season's top four expected to empty their bank accounts in the coming months, this summer is going to be interesting.

But what deals can we expect? Much has been talked about already, but as with most transfer windows, not many of the deals proposed will actually go ahead. So, as a starter to my new transfer window series, I thought I'd take a look at the 20 Premier League sides for next season, speculating what deals I see them doing and how much the Premier League is likely to spend.

Arsenal

In: Arguably the Premier League's strongest midfield, Arsenal still need to plug the gaps that they seem to have had for years - in attack, in defence and in goal. While a lot of names have been thrown around, I see the following deals happening (assuming they don't get a ban for the Calum Chambers affair): Petr Cech (Chelsea, £10m), Arturo Vidal (Juventus, £24m), Paulo Dybala (Palermo, £28m), Daniele Rugani (Juventus, £15m) - but I'm still not sure this will be enough to force them towards the title.

Out: I'm not expecting significant exits, with Jack Wilshere denying a move to Manchester City. The core of the squad will remain the same, with only a couple of exits: Abou Diaby (Released, £0), Wojciech Szczesny (Fiorentina, £6m), Mikel Arteta (Everton, £5m), Lukas Podolski (Galatasaray, £1.8m)

Aston Villa

In: Not expected to be one of the more active clubs, but getting Christian Benteke nailed down to a long contract would be just as important as a new £30m transfer. I think it's all about bolstering the squad, though they could do with a creative midfielder after the loss of Tom Cleverley to Everton. Realistic targets? Micah Richards (Manchester City, £0), Scott Sinclair (Manchester City, £3.5m), Leroy Fer (QPR, £5m), Jean-Armel Kana-Biyik (Rennes, £5m)

Out: If they can hang onto Benteke, that will be critical, but I'm afraid they're likely to lose another couple of key members of their team - Ron Vlaar and Fabian Delph, who has a ludicrously low buyout clause. In order to secure Kieran Trippier, Matt Lowton will be used as a makeweight. Full list: Ron Vlaar (Released, £0), Tom Cleverley (End of loan, Everton), Matt Lowton (Burnley, £1.5m), Joe Cole (Bournemouth, £0), Libor Kozak (Sparta Prague, £3m), Fabian Delph (Manchester City, £8m)

Bournemouth

In: Eddie Howe's side is not blessed with the unlimited spending power that many of the Premier League has, so it may well come down to smart spending rather than going all out for huge names. Realistically, it could be a difficult task to attract the big names, so here are a few suggestions: Tomas Kalas (Chelsea, Loan), Karim Rekik (Manchester City, Loan), Joe Cole (Aston Villa, £0), Patrick Bamford (Chelsea, Loan), Christian Atsu (Chelsea, Loan), Tyrone Mings (Ipswich, £8m), Sylvain Distin (Everton, £0)

Out: I don't think there will be many, if any, significant changes to the squad that was promoted in May. I also don't know the squad well enough to be able to accurately predict the deadweight.

Crystal Palace

In: Certainly not wingers. In Yannick Bolasie and Wilfried Zaha, they have a pair capable of scaring any defence in the country, with Jason Puncheon just to add insult to injury. However, a more creative central midfielder and striker may be required, along with a centre back, as Alan Pardew looks to build upon his excellent season: Johnny Heitinga (Hertha Berlin, £2.5m), Mauricio (Lazio, £5m), Abou Diaby (Arsenal, £0), Vedad Ibisevic (VfB Stuttgart, £7.5m),

Out: In order to accommodate the new signings, some outgoings may be required. Surplus to requirements may be: Adrian Mariappa, Jordon Mutch (Derby, £3m), Jimmy Kebe, Andrew Johnson and Marouane Chamakh.

Chelsea

In: You may think it could not get any better, but Jose Mourinho is not a naive man. He will know that in order to maintain his advantage over the rest of the field, strengthening is required. Defensively, they could do with another centre-back and defensive midfielder as cover for John Terry and Nemanja Matic, while an additional striker could add further strength in depth. As a result, there could be some seriously big signings and money thrown around. In my opinion: Radamel Falcao (AS Monaco, loan), Marquinhos (PSG, £25m), Sven Bender (Borussia Dortmund, £15m), Asmir Begovic (Stoke City, £8m)

Out: The squad from last year performed so well, I'd be surprised if there were many changes, but I do see a couple of the marginalised players leaving, most notably Petr Cech: Petr Cech (Arsenal, £11m), John Obi Mikel (Inter Milan, £5m), Felipe Luis (Atletico Madrid, £7.5m), Didier Drogba (Free agent)

Everton

In: After a slightly disappointing season last time around, Roberto Martinez will be looking to propel the Blues back into the European spots. However, as with many seasons in the past, I wouldn't expect there to be too much in the way of funds incoming from Bill Kenwright. Therefore, a few bargain buys may be the lot for the Goodison Park faithful to cheer, with a defender and winger necessary: Tom Cleverley (Manchester United, £0), Aaron Lennon (Tottenham Hotspur, £7.5m), Virgil van Dijk (Celtic, £10m), Josip Drmic (Bayer Leverkusen, £6m)

Out: It's just as important for Everton to sign new talent as it is to keep their current stars. On the whole, I think they will do, however, there may well be a couple of shocks to leave: Bryan Oviedo, Christian Atsu, Arouna Kone and Seamus Coleman may well see the exit this summer, with the latter adding to Manchester City's domestic quota.

Leicester

In: Having produced a remarkable escape to survive in the Premier League last season, Nigel Pearson will be looking to cement Leicester's place in the top flight by navigating the often awkward second season syndrome. His chairman has already invested heavily in the squad, and there is no reason why we won't see something similar this summer. They have shown they can score goals, but until the end of the year, they couldn't keep them out. So defensive and midfield strength will be a priority, especially if Esteban Cambiasso departs: Michael Dawson (Hull City, £2m), Johan Djourou (Hamburg, £4m), Etienne Capoue (Tottenham Hotspur, £5m), Serey Die (VfB Stuttgart, £6m), Christian Fuchs (Schalke, £0), Shinji Okazaki (Mainz, £5m)

Out: There may be a small clearing of the books, as I can imagine the wage bill is quite considerable at present. In my opinion, these are the ones I'd expect to see leave: Esteban Cambiasso, Danny Simpson, Paul Konchesky, Matthew Upson, Dean Hammond, Anthony Knockaert, Chris Wood.

Liverpool

In: Think this could be an interesting transfer window for Liverpool. They successfully wasted the majority of the money they received from the sale of Luis Suarez last summer, meaning that the club failed to qualify for this season's Champions League. That will inevitably have an impact on the level of player they are able to acquire, but I still think another striker and defensive midfielder is definitely required. My guess? Danny Ings (Burnley, £7m), Miralem Pjanic (AS Roma, £22m), Nigel de Jong (AC Milan, £15m), Roberto Firmino (Hoffenheim, £29m), Adam Bogdan (Bolton, £0), Nathaniel Clyne (Southampton, £12.5m)

Out: Not many changes to the Liverpool side expected (Steven Gerrard excluded), but one of the main transfer sagas of the summer is set to be the future of Raheem Sterling. I expect he'll be at Manchester City next season, but only time will tell: Raheem Sterling (Manchester City, £45m), Kolo Toure, Steven Gerrard (Los Angeles Galaxy), Oussama Assaidi, Rickie Lambert (Norwich City), Fabio Borini, Sebastien Coates (both Sunderland).

Man City

In: They're probably going to be the most active of any club in the transfer market this summer, as the team undergoes a major rebuilding process. I already wrote a full post on the various incomings and outgoings at my club, so for the full detail, take a look here. However, my thoughts have evolved slightly since that moment, so I'll now outline my choices as they stand: Raheem Sterling (Liverpool, £45m), Kevin De Bruyne (Wolfsburg, £30m), Seamus Coleman (Everton, £10m), Paul Pogba (Juventus, £50m), Fabian Delph (Aston Villa, £8m)

Out: Again, significant changes to the current playing staff are expected, though not the Yaya Toure exit that many tipped - here's my predictions: Alvaro Negredo (Valencia, £26m), Stevan Jovetic (Juventus, £15m), Jesus Navas (Sevilla, £10m), Samir Nasri (Marseille, £15m), James Milner (Liverpool, £0), Frank Lampard (Loan Ends, New York City), Fernando (Porto, £8m). It does provide them with a large pot to dip into, though!

Man Utd

In: After an unprecedented spending spree last year, which led them to the Champions League last year (my dig being that United couldn't even buy the title, something the Trafford club have always accused City of doing!), we've been told that Louis van Gaal has again been given a large war chest this summer. Though huge name signings have been linked (see Sergio Ramos and Bastian Schweinsteiger, I simply don't see it. However, a number of areas that need improvement, so I think we'll see the following signings: Hugo Lloris (Tottenham Hotspur, £15m), Memphis Depay (PSV Eindhoven, £31m), Kevin Strootman (AS Roma, £25m), Alexandre Lacazette (Lyon, £20m), Morgan Schneiderlin (Southampton, £24m)

Out: In order to afford these, and remain within the Financial Fair Play regulations, I sense that some will have to be sold. With David de Gea's proposed move set to be one of the long-running transfer sagas of the summer, it will be interesting to see how much will be raised: David de Gea (Real Madrid, £20m), Robin van Persie (Juventus, £10m), Tom Cleverley (Everton, Released), Nani (Sporting, £5m).

Newcastle

In: After such an abomination of a season last time around, naturally speculation around incomings is rife. Such was their failure last season, it's almost difficult to identify just a couple of positions to improve, but I'll give it a go. I certainly think that we'll see a number of incomings, particularly with the pressure on Ashley to spend, so here's my list: Charlie Austin (QPR, £15m), Andreas Beck (Hoffenheim, £6m), Jason Denayer (Manchester City, Loan), Yevhen Konoplyanka (Dnipro, £0).

Out: We've already heard the brutal way in which John Carver dealt out bad news to both Jonas Gutierrez and Ryan Taylor on a phone call, but who else may be headed for the exit door? In my opinion, Yoann Gouffran and Emanuel Riviere will head back to France, while Mapou Yanga-Mbiwa will bring in a little money for a move to Roma.

Norwich

In: The Premier League new boys are set to spend this summer, though seemingly not too significantly. Having seen the example set by Burnley last season, I think Norwich will remain with the core side that brought them up last time around, as many already have significant Premier League experience. However, investment is always required, and here is who I see them signing: Youssouf Mulumbu (West Brom, £0), Rudy Gestede (Blackburn, £7m), Graham Dorrans (West Brom, £2.5m), Robbie Brady (Hull City, £5m), Rickie Lambert (Liverpool, £2m)

Out: It's simply a case of getting rid of the deadwood at the Canaries this summer, with many of the side from last year now either too old or surplus to requirements: Luciano Becchio, Javier Garrido and Carlos Cuellar all fit within this bracket.

Southampton

In: As with last year, there are going to be a lot of incomings and outgoings at the Saints, particularly after such an impressive opening year for Ronald Koeman. In my mind, there will be more money to spend, which will lead to a number of big (ish) deals: Jordy Clasie (Feyenoord, £10m), Ryan Bertrand (Chelsea, £10m), Juanmi (Malaga, £5m), Idrissa Gueye (Lille, £7m), Toby Alderweireld (Ajax, £12m)

Out: So, how are Southampton going to afford this outlay? Unlike last season, there isn't going to be a significant clear out, however there is a trend similar to last year. Nathaniel Clyne is Liverpool bound for £12.5m, joining ex-Saints Dejan Lovren and Adam Lallana at Anfield. Morgan Schneiderlin also seems to be on the way out, for a proposed fee of around £24m. Other than that, it seems unlikely that much will change, as Koeman will not want a disruption akin to last year, even though it ended well.

Stoke

In: Mark Hughes is well versed in wheeler-dealing, having done it so successfully during his years at Blackburn. He has already made a couple of early signings, and these are the players I expect to see at the Britannia next year: Joselu (Hannover, £5.8m), Jakob Haugaard (Midtylland, £2m), Victor Moses (£3m), Sergi Roberto (Barcelona, £8m), Zakaria Bakkali (£5m), Tom Heaton (Burnley, £3m).

Out: With three releases already confirmed (Wilson Palacios, Thomas Sorensen, Andy Wilkinson), this season seems set to centre around the proposed sale of Asmir Begovic to Chelsea. I think it will happen, with Victor Moses going the other way (either as part of the deal or separately). Other than that, I feel Stoke's lineup will remain vastly similar.

Sunderland

In: Under new leadership, Sunderland may well find themselves spending reasonably big this summer, as Dick Advocaat continues to impress his will upon the team. In my opinion, these are the signings I expect them to make: Sebastien Coates (Liverpool, £4m), Fabio Borini (Liverpool, £8m), Stuart Downing (West Ham, £7m), Georgio Wijnaldum (PSV Eindhoven, £12m), Adam Matthews (Celtic, £2m)

Out: I'm not expecting to see significant exits, with possibly just Liam Bridcutt or Steven Fletcher the only first team players to leave. However, this puts significant pressure on Advocaat, as he will have spend a lot for very little return, and they will need to improve on the relegation battle they delivered last year.

Swansea

In: Garry Monk, after the £28m sale of Wilfried Bony in January, has money to spend this summer, and he's already been splashing the cash. As well as up front, strength in depth when it comes to defence is critical, and I'm expecting to see the following deals: Andre Ayew (Marseille, £0), Franck Tabanou (St Etienne, £3.5m), Eder (Braga, £5m), Lukasz Nordfeldt (Heerenveen, £1m), Aleksandar Mitrovic (£12m)

Out: Put quite simply, this may well be a summer for entries than exits, with perhaps Jazz Richards the only first team player to leave permanently. Outside of that, I see lots of loans for the younger Swans, in the attempt to continue the tradition of strong youngsters coming through the ranks at Swansea.

Tottenham

In: A difficult one. Having spent big a couple of years ago, with little success, I foresee a summer of consolidation for Spurs, predominantly as many of the big targets have either already gone or will only be willing to move to a Champions League football. However, there may be some movement for Spurs to enjoy: Delle Alli (MK Dons, £5m), Kieran Trippier (Bournemouth, £2.5m), Sebastian Rondon (Zenit St Petersburg, £20m), Florian Thauvin (Marseille, £10m), Saido Berahino (West Brom, £10m).

Out: A few, particularly those during Andre Villas-Boas's reign. Big names like Paulinho and Roberto Soldado seem likely to exit to Guangzhou Evergrande and Galatasaray respectively, but will that be the end? Harry Kane is linked in a massive money move to Manchester United, but I don't think that's likely. Outside of that, I think Aaron Lennon will leave, along with Emmanuel Adebayor, but it will once again be another season of incomings outstripping outgoings.

Watford

In: Another promoted club, another side that doesn't have significant amounts to spend. With a record £7m signing already on its way in the form of Genoa's Diego Perrotti, the kitty may just be empty. In addition to this, the following deals may be available: Sebastien Prodl (Werder Bremen, £0), Marco Motta (Juventus, £0), Jano Ananidze (Spartak Moscow, £4m), Joel Campbell (Arsenal, £6m), Bakary Sako (Wolves, £2.5m)

Out: Keeping hold of Troy Deeney may well prove to be the biggest challenge for the Hornets this summer, but I actually think they will achieve it. They are not in a position to need to sell, and as with many of their relegation rivals, I genuinely believe that they will spend more than they receive. I'm not well-versed enough with the Watford squad to know the relevant exits, but I can't imagine they'll get much for them.

West Brom

In: Having stabilised in the Premier League, far from their trademark "boing-boing" reputation, West Brom will be next looking to move their way up the table, emulating the recent success of Stoke City or Swansea. With this in mind, here are my transfer targets: Matt Phillips (QPR, £5m), James McClean (Wigan, £1.5m), Callum McManaman (Wigan, £4.5m), Kevin-Prince Boateng (Schalke, £8m), George Friend (Middlesbrough, £2.5m)

Out: We've already seen a couple of exits from the Baggies this summer, with both Youssouf Mulumbu and Graham Dorrans on their way to Norwich. Outside of them, Saido Berahino seems set for a move to Tottenham, though I'm not certain that the fee will be quite as inflated as West Brom would like. However, Tony Pulis runs a tight ship, and I'd be very surprised if we saw an exodus from The Hawthorns.

West Ham

In: New manager, exciting new stadium on the way, and a host of new signings expected for the Hammers. Slaven Bilic's team were the first to make a move worth in excess of £10m, with the signings of Dimitri Payet from Marseille, but who else could be on their way to East London? Alex Song (Barcelona, Loan), Carl Jenkinson (Arsenal, £3.5m), Nene (Free agent), Emmanuel Adebayor (Tottenham Hotspur, £5m), Angelo Ogbonna (Juventus, £12m)

Out: No major outgoings, with Stuart Downing expected to be the most high profile. With Bilic willing to give his players an opportunity to prove themselves in the early goings, I'd be surprised if much in the way of exits happen - maybe the likes of Joey O'Brien, Carlton Cole or Guy Demel may be seen as surplus to requirements.

Total Spend (where all sales between Premier League teams are counted as spend): £726.6m

Total Income: £266.3m

Totaliser for Summer Window: £992.9m

Tuesday, 6 January 2015

Half Time Report: Who'll Be Shopping In The January Sales?

With the Premier League season in the balance for each of the 20 teams involved, January represents an excellent opportunity for sides to supplement their sides, and maybe find that couple of signings that will enable them to meet, or even surpass, their targets. We have seen teams perform exceptionally well under pressure in January, which can have a dramatic effect on the rest of their seasons. For example, remember Papiss Cisse's 13 goals in 14 games for Newcastle following his £9m move from Freiburg in January 2011, pushing Newcastle to the cusp of the Champions League.

Alternatively, January can also be a month to dread for sides, particularly teams towards the bottom end of the table. With Chairmen often finding it difficult to resist offers for their star men, selling an in-form player can equally have consequences - and not good ones.

With this in mind, who is likely to be making their move in this month-long carnage? And who is likely to be hoping that not much goes on?

Arsenal - YES
As attractive as flair players are, you need a bit of grit at the back to be successful. Despite this being shouted almost every week at Arsene Wenger by the pundits on Match of the Day (and in some cases, his own fans!), Arsenal have yet to sign a top quality defender to go alongside the likes of Sanchez, Cazorla, Ramsey etc going forward. Maybe it's because he couldn't find anyone French, but he has to move quickly in this window to ensure that Arsenal do not lose their top 4 status.

Who would be good? Though not a long term signing, Ron Vlaar may well be an option, however I feel that with Borussia Dortmund currently on such a poor run, there has never been a better time to test their resolve with a bid for either Mats Hummels or Neven Subotic.

Aston Villa - NO
With limited funds, this month may well be all about keeping their key players, rather than extending. The likes of Ron Vlaar and Christian Benteke may once again be targets for the larger teams, so Paul Lambert will do well to retain his current squad. The loss of either of these could be the difference between Premier League football next year, and a trip to the Championship.

Burnley - NO
Like Villa, it will be all about keeping hold of their key men - specifically Danny Ings.

Chelsea - MAYBE
Despite their considerable wealth, I am not expecting to see too much out of Chelsea this January. With Jose Mourinho having spent heavily in the summer to build his own team, I honestly can't think of many positions that he needs to replace. From front to back, they are pretty intimidating as a side, so I think it may be a case of some investment in youth players for the title-chasers.

Crystal Palace - MAYBE
With a new manager in the shape of Alan Pardew, the January transfer window could represent a good opportunity to stamp his authority on his new club. A top quality striker or midfielder may be the way forward, so a cheeky bid for either Danny Ings or Charlie Austin may be on the cards.

Everton - NO
Having forked out £28m on Romelu Lukaku in the summer, and with a chairman notoriously shy on splashing the cash, it is unlikely that we are to see any big business from the Toffees. I think reducing the injury list needs to be at the top of their priorities - then we may see them find some form.

Hull - MAYBE
Much like Everton, considerable investment made in the summer means that the Tigers should be expected to be fairly quiet. A couple of loan deals may be on the way (with Hatem Ben Arfa clearly on the way out), but other than strengthening the defence, I'm not sure Hull will be able to do much more in the window.

Leicester - YES
At the King Power, however, we may see some movement. With wealthy backers, Leicester perhaps did not take full advantage of the summer transfer window, with their only significant money signing the £7m buy of Leonardo Ulloa. The team continues to leak goals, so some strengthening in the centre of midfield and defence may well be needed.

And who could they get? From a midfield perspective, Manchester United's Anderson or Werder Bremen's Cedric Makiadi may be reasonable purchases for relatively little outlay, while defensively, Celtic's Virgil van Dijk may also help.

Liverpool - YES
Following a number of less than convincing summer buys, Brendan Rodgers has already made his intentions clear to dip into the transfer market this month - I'm guessing predominantly for a striker. With reports surfacing of links to a huge bid for Karim Benzema or Ilkay Gundogan, I personally think they are too far-fetched. Bids for targets like Wilfried Bony or even Schalke's Klaas-Jan Huntelaar may well be more realistic, but it will mean more outlay on an already expensive transfer spend.

Manchester City - YES
With both Sergio Aguero and Edin Dzeko injured, City's main transfer targets must be strikers this January. Like Liverpool, I see them looking towards the likes of Bony, with certain reports also linking the Blues to Atletico Madrid's Mario Mandzukic. If I had my way, I'd be making a considerable offer for Borussia Dortmund's Marco Reus, as he can play either wide or up front. This would allow for potential rotation when City's main strikers become available, and would give Manuel Pellegrini an additional option.

Manchester United - YES
Despite spending over £150m in the summer, United will also be looking towards new faces this month. Defensively, the Red Devils have been a nightmare, and have relied heavily on David de Gea to bail them out in games. However, without the allure of Champions League football, they can kiss goodbye to attracting the likes of Mats Hummels, though Neven Subotic may be a more realistic aim. Alternatively, it may be that Louis van Gaal dips into his Dutch World Cup squad once more to target FC Porto's Bruno Martins Indi.

Newcastle United - NO
In short, keeping Moussa Sissoko may prove Newcastle's largest test in January, but with proven strikers in Papiss Cisse and Ayoze Perez, and a strong continent of youth players, I expect a new manager to be the only real incoming on Tyneside.

QPR - MAYBE
Should Charlie Austin leave, I expect the Hoops to flex their financial muscle again. However, having already agreed the loan signing of Mauro Zarate from West Ham, unless Austin is sold I'm expecting more deals of this kind or little to come from the London club.

Southampton - NO
After such an exceptional start to the season, I don't think they need anyone! Having made a number of top class signings in the summer, I think the time should certainly be spent on gelling their squad and building for the future with their stellar youth set-up.

Stoke - NO
Similar to a number of clubs, a lack of available funds and a reasonable summertime spend means that Mark Hughes is unlikely to strengthen his squad in January. Given his success, it may be keeping hold of Bojan Krkic that is Stoke's best bit of business.

Sunderland - NO
With the Black Cats still in the heart of a relegation battle, I think Gus Poyet will trust in the side he has, particularly after their spirited display away at Manchester City.

Swansea - MAYBE
This all depends on Wilfried Bony's future. The big Ivorian has been linked with moves to Liverpool, Manchester City or Tottenham, and despite being unavailable at the African Cup of Nations, Swansea's transfer budget may depend on any sale.

Tottenham - MAYBE
Other than a striker, Spurs are pretty much sorted. They are currently overly reliant on Harry Kane, and though the youngster has been in exceptional form, he will at some point need a rest. With both Roberto Soldado and Emmanuel Adebayor both woefully out of form, Wilfried Bony has been tipped for a move to White Hart Lane. Other than that, Spurs are looking fairly strong at the minute, so should the Ivorian move, I sense it being the only purchase.

West Brom - MAYBE
Like Crystal Palace, a new manager may mean a change in squad, however, with a limited budget, I'm not sure Tony Pulis is set to make many changes. A striker would be a good start, as the Baggies have struggled for goals so far this year, but it may be a battle between them and Crystal Palace for Danny Ings.

West Ham - NO
Like Southampton, such has been the excellent start to the season for West Ham, I really don't feel they need to buy anyone. Big Sam made a number of good signings in the summer, and I expect it to be enough to get them through the rest of the year.

Thursday, 4 September 2014

Summer Transfer Window: Winners and Losers

And with the passing of the transfer deadline, the scrummage to secure the final additions to squads is over. For my review of this window, see the story here. But who has come out best? Which clubs are now set out for a tilt at the league, and who is destined for mid-table mediocrity? Or worse, a parachute payment jump into the uncertain waters of the Championship?

In order to determine the winners and losers in the transfer market, I will be marking each team's dealings out of 10 on five different topics: big name (relative to the club), value for money, team balance, player retention and absence of panic buying. From these rankings, I will be able to determine a league table of their transfer dealings. These will almost certainly not be indicative of how the league will go, but do give some indication of how well the clubs, and more importantly, their finances, are run.


Team
Big Name
Value
Team Balance
Player Retention
No Panic-buys
Total
Chelsea
9
6
8
7
8
38
Hull City
8
6
7
7
6
34
Stoke City
7
8
5
6
7
33
Manchester City
6
5
7
7
8
33
Newcastle United
6
7
6
6
8
33
Arsenal
8
6
5
8
5
32
Everton
7
6
6
8
5
32
Swansea City
6
6
7
6
6
31
Liverpool
7
6
7
5
5
30
Sunderland
6
6
6
5
7
30
Tottenham Hotspur
5
6
6
6
7
30
Queens Park Rangers
7
5
6
7
5
30
West Ham United
7
5
5
7
6
30
Leicester City
5
6
6
6
6
29
Aston Villa
2
7
7
7
6
29
Manchester United
9
4
6
4
5
28
Crystal Palace
4
6
6
7
7
28
West Bromwich Albion
5
6
5
5
7
28
Burnley
1
6
6
7
6
26
Southampton
5
5
6
2
4
22

Winners
Chelsea - Jose Mourinho knew his transfer targets at the start of the window, and he got his men. Though he may have had to pay a little over the odds for the likes of Fabregas and Diego Costa, the early £30m fees they had to stump up pale in comparison to the ridiculous figures seen out of Manchester United. Calm on deadline day, Chelsea's new recruits balance their team excellently, and they will be a force to be reckoned with come May.

Hull City - Perhaps surprising considering the deadline day chaos to come out of the club, Hull have also had a successful window. Their late signings of Hatem Ben Arfa, Gaston Ramirez and Abel Hernandez add significant strength in depth and could yet prove to be the key in their fight to reach the top half of the table.

Stoke City - Based mostly on the value for money aspect of the test, Stoke's signings up front of Mame Biram Diouf and Bojan will complement the creative talents of Marko Arnautovic behind. Mark Hughes went into the window knowing he needed goals, and if Diouf's stunner against Man City is anything to go by, they now have plenty of those in their front line.

Manchester City - Unlike their city neighbours and rivals, City got their transfer dealings well and truly done with before the final days of the window. With a mixture of bargain deals for Bacary Sagna and Frank Lampard, and big ticket transactions like Fernando and Eliaquim Mangala, City's squad is probably the strongest in depth in the league. The prices may have been slightly steep, but there was not a moment of panic from Manuel Pellegrini. But would you ever expect it?!

Newcastle United - Rounding off the top five is the Toon. Despite constant complaints (and in many regards, completely justified) towards owner Mike Ashley, the fact remains that Newcastle have continued to bring in new (albeit consistently French) talent. Remy Cabella and Emanuele Rivière look like excellent acquisitions, and I feel they could be challenging the European places come May.

Losers
Southampton - I don't care what anyone says, you lose five of your biggest assets from the previous season, you're going to struggle. Though the Saints have seemed to dip into the market with some success, it will take time for those players to gel. The panic buying in the final hours only caps a remarkably busy, if a little traumatic, window for Southampton.

Burnley - It's a great shame, but Burnley simply don't have the funds to attract the calibre of players brought in by sides around them. If your biggest signing of the window is George Boyd, a benchwarmers at Hull the previous season, it's less of a marquee and more of a tiny gazebo. That they held onto Danny Ings is somewhat of a success, but I fear the Championship beckons for the ginger Mourinho.

West Bromwich Albion - This was fairly simple. Overpaying on your big name signing, whose name isn't very large anyway? Check. The exit of a number of your key defenders, leaving you threadbare at the back? Check. Bringing in a manager who, though well respected in the game, has little experience of Premier League management? Check. And the prognosis? A season of struggle awaits.

Crystal Palace - Though I can't be too critical of the final days of the transfer window at Selhurst Park, as the upheaval off the field will have affected transfers, the fact remains that the window was a shambles for the Eagles. Bringing Wilfried Zaha in may prove to be an excellent bit of business, but he is a risk. As for the rest, slim pickings. Though they held onto the majority of their key men from last campaign, I'm expecting them to slide slowly down the table.

Manchester United - Controversial? Perhaps, but hear me out. Though they have undoubtedly brought in the biggest names of the window, the expense to which they had to go to get them was absurd. Being a lifelong blue, I have had to put up with many a United fan argue that City have bought their league titles with their huge spending in recent windows, and I have always come back with the same argument. £5 is £5, whether you spend it in 10 minutes or 10 years. United have consistently spent medium amounts on players, and their historical total far exceeds the amount City have spent. The fact that City have spent it in five years is irrelevant - they have used what they have to the best of their ability.

It will be interesting to see if the same hypocrite United fans later their opinions now they are the ones spending. My earlier argument means I cannot be upset at United's spending without being a hypocrite myself, and I have no problem with them flexing their financial muscle. I simply find it amusing that they are spending that amount to buy 4th, rather than the titles that City are accused of buying.

Nevertheless, the fact remains that we have witnessed a multi-record breaking transfer window. Some clubs have made wise calls, others not so much, but it will be interesting to see whether my transfer table gives any indication of the trajectory of the clubs involved.